Vision
A decision-making environment for Aotearoa New Zealand that acknowledges that acting on science is sometimes difficult and many resilience decisions present significant political, professional, or institutional risks.
Project description
Currently, decision-makers have to mediate considerable institutional, professional, and political risks that arise from mitigating natural hazards, such as how sure are we? How much will it cost? Who pays? What should we prioritise?
Some of these risks can be addressed by better science, or more accurate data, but where situations are complex, uncertain, and value-laden, action is difficult and natural hazard risks may be transferred to the state and private sector, or to people, places, and future generations.
We are working to build understanding of the real-world ‘risks’ of decision making and so increase the potential of resilience science, tools, and policies from multiple areas across the challenge to have real-world impact. Our research is being conducted in two workstreams:
Our goal is to help enable more difficult decisions to be taken, particularly those that bring considerable institutional, professional, economic and political risks for those making them.
McClure, J., Noy, I., Kashima, Y. & Milfont, T.L. (2022). Attributions for extreme weather events: science and the people. Climatic Change 174, 22. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-022-03443-7
Hanna, C., White, I., Xinyu, F., Crossland, K., Serrao-Neumann, S. (2022). Green or grey pandemic recovery? Revealing the blue–green infrastructure influences in Aotearoa-New Zealand’s “Shovel…
White, I. (2022) Reflections on Urban Crises, the Science-Policy Interface and the Importance of “Tiny Revolts”. Urban Policy and Research, 40 (3):195-205. https://doi.org/10.1080/08111146.2022.2093183
White, I., Legacy, C., & Haughton, G. (2022). Infrastructure in times of exception: Unravelling the discourses, governance reforms and politics in ‘Building Back Better’ from…
Filippova O, Noy I. 2020. Earthquake-strengthening policy for commercial buildings in small-town New Zealand. Disasters. 44(1):179-204. doi:10.1111/disa.12360.
Poontirakul P, Brown C, Seville E, Vargo J, Noy I. 2017. Insurance as a double-edged sword: quantitative evidence from the 2011 Christchurch earthquake. The Geneva…
Yonson R, Noy I, Ivory VC, Bowie C. 2020. Earthquake-induced transportation disruption and economic performance: the experience of Christchurch, New Zealand. Journal of Transport Geography.…
Owen S, Noy I. 2019. Regressivity in public natural hazard insurance: a quantitative analysis of the New Zealand case. Economics of Disasters and Climate Change.…
Sovacool BK, Tan-Mullins M, Abrahamse W. 2018. Bloated bodies and broken bricks: power, ecology, and inequality in the political economy of natural disaster recovery. World…
Squires G, White I. 2019. Resilience and housing markets: who is it really for? Land Use Policy. 81:167-174. doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2018.10.018.
Hoang T, Noy I. 2020. Wellbeing after a managed retreat: Observations from a large New Zealand program. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction. 48:101589. doi:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101589.
Christina Hanna, Iain White, Bruce C. Glavovic, Managed retreats by whom and how? Identifying and delineating governance modalities, Climate Risk Management, Volume 31, 2021. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2021.100278
Nissen S, Cretney R. Retrofitting an emergency approach to the climate crisis: A study of two climate emergency declarations in Aotearoa New Zealand. Environment and…
Filippova O, Nguyen C, Noy I, Rehm M. 2020. Who cares? Future sea level rise and house prices. Land Economics. 96(2):207-224. doi:10.3368/le.96.2.207
Noy I, Doan N, Ferrarini B, Park D. 2020. The economic risk of COVID-19 in developing countries: where is it highest? In: Djankov S, Panizza…
Pastor-Paz J, Noy I, Sin I, Sood A, Fleming-Munoz D, Owen S. 2020. Projecting the effect of climate change on residential property damages caused by…
Hanna C, White I, Glavovic B. 2020. The uncertainty contagion: revealing the interrelated, cascading uncertainties of managed retreat. Sustainability. 12(2):736. doi:10.3390/su12020736
Nguyen CN, Noy I. 2019. Measuring the impact of insurance on urban earthquake recovery using nightlights. Journal of Economic Geography. 20(3):857-877. doi:10.1093/jeg/lbz033.
Nguyen CN, Noy I. 2020. Comparing earthquake insurance programmes: how would Japan and California have fared after the 2010–11 earthquakes in New Zealand? Disasters. 44(2):367-389.…
Munshi D, Kurian P, Cretney R, Morrison SL, Kathlene L. 2020. Centering culture in public engagement on climate change. Environmental Communication. 14(5):573-581. doi:10.1080/17524032.2020.1746680.
Haughton G, White I, Pinto N. 2020. Planning in the post-pandemic era. Town & Country Planning. April/May:138-140.
Lawrence J, White I, Glavovic B, Schneider P. 2017. Resilience governance briefing note. Lower Hutt (NZ): Resilience to Nature's Challenges. 3 p.
Grace E, France-Hudson B, Kilvington M. 2019. Reducing risk through the management of existing uses: Tensions under the RMA. Lower Hutt (NZ): GNS Science. 10…
Hanna C, White I, Glavovic B. 2019. Managed retreat in practice: mechanisms and challenges for implementation. In. Oxford Research Encyclopedias: natural hazard science. Oxford University…
Hanna, C., White, I., Glavovic, B. (2017). Managed retreat in New Zealand: revealing the terminology, approaches and direction of local planning instruments. Report for the…
Noy I, Doan N, Ferrarini B, Park D. 2020. Measuring the economic risk of Covid-19. COVID Economics. 3:103-118.
Noy I. 2020. Paying a price of climate change: who pays for managed retreats? Current Climate Change Reports. 6(1):17-23. doi:10.1007/s40641-020-00155-x.
Noy I, Doan N, Ferrarini B, Park D. 2020. Measuring the economic risk of COVID-19. Global Policy. 11(4):413-423. doi:10.1111/1758-5899.12851.
Noy I, De Alwis D, Ferrarini B, Park D. 2020. Defining build-back-better after disasters with an example: Sri Lanka's recovery after the 2004 Tsunami. International…