Vision
For decision-makers and planners to use reliable risk and hazard models when deciding how to mitigate the multiple hazards that can arise from a single event such as an earthquake or storm.
Project description
The ability to plan for and mitigate the impacts of multiple and potentially cascading hazards resulting from a single event has been hampered by a lack of modelling of the interactions and dependencies in hazards, impacts and vulnerabilities.
We are developing statistical and computational modelling methods to account for multiple and cascading hazards and the linked impacts to infrastructure. Our goal is for the insights provided by these models to be used by planners and decision-makers when mitigating the impacts of multiple hazards.
To do this, we are working on two closely linked sub-projects:
R. Paulik, A. Wild, C. Zorn, L. Wotherspoon, S. Williams 2024 Evaluation of residential building damage for the July 2021 flood in Westport, New Zealand…
T. Kimpton, P. Higuera, C. Whittaker, L. Wotherspoon 2024 A rapid simplified method for determining tsunami inundation extent based on energy conservation Computer-Aided Civil and…
A. Tupper, G. Leonard, 2024 Developing the future vision for seamless multi-hazard warnings for volcanic eruptions—outcomes from a workshop at IAVCEI 2023, Rotorua Bulletin of…
T.R.H. Davies, M. Bloomberg, T.R. Robinson, D. Palmer 2024 Debris-flow risk-to-life: preliminary screening International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 100, DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2023.104158
How drought severity impacts dairy and sheep/beef farm debt, equity and profitability.
Creating an evacuation decision-support tool to identify locations that are cost-beneficial to evacuate in the event of volcanic unrest.
Paulik, R., Wild, R., Zorn, C. & Wotherspoon, L. (2022). Residential Building Flood Damage: Insights on Processes and Implications for Risk Assessments. Journal of Flood…
Paulik, R., Horspool, N., Woods, R., Griffiths, N., Beale, T., Magill, C., Wild, A., Popovich, B., Walbran, G. & Garlick, R. (2022). RiskScape: a flexible…
Tim Davies, Danilo Moretti, Geomorphic precursors of large landslides: seismic preconditioning and slope-top benches. In Hazards and Disasters Series, Landslide Hazards, Risks, and Disasters (Second…
Tim Davies, Reducing landslide disaster impacts. In Hazards and Disasters Series, Landslide Hazards, Risks, and Disasters (Second Edition). Editor(s): Tim Davies, Nick Rosser, J.F. Shroder,…
Cox SC, van Ballegooy S, Rutter HK, Harte DS, Holden C, Gulley AK, Lacrosse V, Manga M. 2021. Can artesian groundwater and earthquake-induced aquifer leakage…
Dunant A, Bebbington M, Davies T. 2021. Probabilistic cascading multi-hazard risk assessment methodology using graph theory, a New Zealand trial. International Journal of Disaster Risk…
Frigerio Porta G, Bebbington M, Xiao X, Jones G. 2020. A statistical model for earthquake and/or rainfall triggered landslides. Earth and Space Science Open Archive…
Frigerio Porta G, Bebbington M, Xiao X, Jones G. 2020. Bayesian lifetime analysis for landslide dams. Landslides. 17(8):1835-1848. doi:10.1007/s10346-020-01388-5.
Ang PS, Bebbington MS, Lindsay JM, Jenkins SF. 2020. From eruption scenarios to probabilistic volcanic hazard analysis: an example of the Auckland Volcanic Field, New…
Generating multihazard scenarios with realistic impacts.
Alec J. Wild, Mark S. Bebbington, Jan M. Lindsay, Danielle H. Charlton, Modelling spatial population exposure and evacuation clearance time for the Auckland Volcanic Field,…
Brown C, McDonald G, Uma SR, Smith N, Sadashiva V, Buxton R, Grace E, Seville E, Daly M. 2019. From physical disruption to community impact…
A new methodology to numerically assess the impact of potential landslides.
The development of a pilot household population model for the Wellington region is described.