Assoc Prof Jon Procter

Programme Co-Leader

Massey University


Dr Arthur Jolly

Programme Co-Leader

GNS Science



To produce short-term forecasts and long-term probabilistic hazard estimates for
New Zealand volcanoes.

Volcanoes threaten New Zealand’s resilience through multiple and complex cascading hazards with large footprints and permanent landscape changes. The most urgent threats are to the surrounding communities, those downwind of our volcanoes, as well as the transport, electricity, tourism and agricultural sectors.

We will generate the fundamental and applied risk science to support resilience in response to New Zealand’s active volcanoes. This includes developing forecasts of volcanic eruptions, their multiple dynamic hazards and their complex impacts on our businesses, infrastructure and society.

This research programme will support resilient and sustainable development in threatened areas by integrating improved knowledge of the multiple and dynamic threats of volcanism into long-term planning and emergency management processes.




Multihazard forecasting

Develop new models to forecast the long-term multihazards of New Zealand’s cone volcanoes.


Volcanic impact models – the “eVolcano Testing Lab”

  • Developing new-generation volcanic impact analysis by empirical testing of physical and chemical impacts of a range of volcanic processes.
  • Developing a new suite of modelling tools designed to improve the assessment of volcanic hazards.


Volcanic Resilience

  • Integration with emergency management planning scenarios
  • Contributing to mātauranga Māori and building kaitiakitanga

Volcano mapping using hyperspectral remote sensing

Dr Gabor Kereszturi of Massey University uses hyperspectral remote sensing technology to better understand the hazards posed by New Zealand’s volcanoes.

For the first time, maps have been produced for Mt Ruapehu using this exciting technology, allowing for improved modelling of volcanic hazards. 

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